Attention, live shopping, and the rise of AI influencers

Executive overview

Attention has always been the asset — whoever controls where eyes go controls commerce, culture, and influence. Social media decentralised that control for the first time in history, letting anyone reach an audience without being chosen by a gatekeeper.

Two opportunities stand out for the next decade: live-stream shopping and AI-generated virtual influencers. Both are early, both are large.

The single biggest mistake founders make is ignoring free distribution while it lasts.

Why attention is the only asset that matters

  • Television, radio, and print worked because institutions owned distribution — you paid to be seen.
  • Social media broke that model: content now finds its audience for free.
  • TikTokification means a brand-new account with zero followers can get a million views on its first post.
  • For 100 years, reach required budget. That era is ending.
  • Blockchain-based social networks will eventually remove all platform risk and create a true meritocracy.

The live shopping opportunity

  • Live shopping is QVC on social networks — already massive in China, still early in Western markets.
  • TikTok Shop is the most active venue; Whatnot and Fanatics Live are proving the model in collectibles.
  • Influencers will shift from brand deals to affiliate revenue and direct product sales via live streams.
  • Apparel and beauty are the highest-volume categories right now.
  • The predawn window is now — this has not yet popped in Western markets the way it will.

The AI influencer opportunity

  • Virtual influencers will do to human influencers what influencers did to celebrities — displace them at scale.
  • An AI influencer agency that owns virtual characters is the opportunity: they are IP, like Mickey Mouse or Kermit the Frog, but indistinguishable from humans.
  • Within five years, the gap between AI-generated and real faces will be undetectable.
  • Brands gain full control: gender, age, look, style, personality — no talent management risk.
  • Every major company will eventually have virtual faces on their marketing roster.

Building a personal brand while distribution is free

  • If content is not working, the content is not yet interesting — there is no shadow ban, just a signal problem.
  • Post around the thing you know most deeply, not the thing you think has money in it.
  • GaryVee's first seven years of content were exclusively about wine because that was his deepest knowledge; business content came later.
  • Good branding means inbound. Needing to sell hard signals weak branding.
  • Every era of free distribution ends. Television did. Radio did. This window will close.

The human side of building a business

  • The biggest ROI at any conference is not the on-stage content — it is conversations with other attendees.
  • Saying hello to a stranger in a room of aligned people is the highest-leverage action available.
  • Every breakthrough — financial or personal — traces back to a relationship that started with a cold hello.
  • As a business scales from zero to a million and beyond, the quality of the people around you is the whole game.
  • Firing someone you know is wrong is hard but unavoidable; tolerance of the wrong person costs more than the discomfort.

On humility, presence, and how to operate at scale

  • Humility is underused by people who have been fortunate.
  • Gratitude makes chaos manageable — perspective on what you have keeps the noise from winning.
  • Every person who wants a moment with you deserves that moment fully; their time is not worth less than yours.
  • Online hate is an indicator of the hater's pain, not a signal about your content or your worth.
  • Leaning into compassion for critics, rather than insecurity, is the correct response.

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