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SaaS metrics explained from first principles with an 11-year-old
Executive overview
Most founders absorb SaaS metrics through jargon, which hides how simple the underlying concepts are. Walking through them from scratch — money, revenue, profit, then software, then recurring revenue — reveals which terms are intuitive and which are just bad names.
The conversation covers every core revenue metric: MRR, ARPA, ACV, churn, LTV, and CAC, building each from the one before it.
The definitions are already in the words — jargon is the only thing making them hard.
What a business is and why profit matters
- A business produces something people value enough to pay for, seeking profit in return.
- Revenue is money received; COGS (cost of goods sold) is the direct cost to produce and deliver it.
- Profit is what remains after all expenses — if costs exceed revenue, the business fails.
- SaaS differs from physical products: marginal COGS is near zero; the dominant costs are salaries.
Software as a service
- SaaS means software where your data lives on the provider's servers, not your device.
- The name is widely acknowledged as poor; "hosted software" or "cloud software" would be clearer.
- Revenue model: customers pay monthly or annually rather than a one-time purchase.
- This creates recurring revenue — predictable income that reoccurs each period.
Core revenue metrics
- MRR (monthly recurring revenue): total revenue received from all customers in a month.
- ARPA (average revenue per account): MRR divided by number of customers — e.g. $200 MRR ÷ 20 customers = $10 ARPA.
- ACV (annual contract value): the revenue from one customer over a year — e.g. $10/month = $120 ACV. "Annual customer value" would be a better name.
- These three metrics all measure money coming in; none captures what can be lost.
Churn
- Churn is the percentage of customers who cancel in a given month.
- Example: 10 cancellations from 100 customers = 10% customer churn.
- Revenue churn measures the MRR lost, not the headcount — $1,000 lost from $10,000 MRR = 10% revenue churn.
- 10% monthly churn means losing roughly 90% of customers within a year — the death of SaaS growth.
- Low churn is non-negotiable; acquiring new customers is expensive and cannot outpace high churn indefinitely.
Lifetime value
- LTV (lifetime value): average revenue earned from a customer over the full relationship.
- Average customer lifetime (months) = 1 ÷ monthly churn rate. At 5% churn: 1 ÷ 0.05 = 20 months.
- LTV = average lifetime × ARPA. At 20 months and $10 ARPA: LTV = $200.
- $200 LTV is workable for small businesses but very hard to scale — higher ARPA or lower churn is required.
Cost to acquire a customer
- CAC (cost to acquire a customer): total marketing and sales spend divided by new customers gained.
- Easy to calculate for paid ads (e.g. $1/click, 10% conversion = $10 CAC); harder for content or founder time.
- Drill down by channel: ads at $10 CAC, content at $50, outbound at $100 — cut the weakest, reinvest elsewhere.
- Knowing CAC by channel tells you where growth is efficient and where spend is being wasted.
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