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Why IQ scores are falling and how to protect your own
Executive overview
IQ scores worldwide began declining around 2010 after decades of steady rises. Two compounding forces explain this: decades of declining reading have degraded how our brains process information, and smartphones have separately eroded our capacity to sustain concentration.
The post-literacy and post-concentration crises compound each other — but attention is the lever you can pull now.
The evidence for declining IQ
- Multiple studies show IQ scores began falling around 2006–2012, with the sharpest inflection point near 2010
- A 2023 Northwestern study found declines across all education levels and both genders
- Only one measured intelligence — 3D spatial rotation — is still improving; all others are declining
- 18–22 year olds show the steepest drops: the heaviest smartphone users and the first generation schooled entirely with smartphones
The post-literacy hypothesis
- Reading rates have fallen steadily since the 80s and 90s; television began the shift, smartphones accelerated it
- Books force logical, dense, structured argument — a form of analytical cross-training absent from video and social media
- Neil Postman (1985): moving from a print-based to a broadcast-based culture changes not just what we consume but how we think
- Walter Ong and Eric Havelock identified the same pattern when TV became widespread in the 1960s
- The hypothesis is compelling but not consensus — researchers note the 3D spatial exception and cross-country variation
The attention hypothesis (the overlooked factor)
- Reading decline predates the 2010 inflection point by decades; smartphones explain the timing
- Hyper-palatable algorithmic content overwhelms short-term motivation circuits, degrading the ability to sustain concentration
- Post-literacy reduces brain capability; post-concentration reduces the ability to deploy whatever capability remains
- Both forces together produce a steeper decline than either alone
Four concrete actions
- Delete apps where the business model depends on maximising your time-on-app — TikTok, Instagram, algorithmic games
- Join the attention resistance for tools you can't quit: remove addictive features via browser plugins, never use the native app, route business use through a buffer (e.g. a shared doc a team member posts from)
- Keep your phone in the kitchen when at home — plugged in, not on your person; within three to four days the compulsive checking impulse fades and baseline concentration recovers
- Train your attention daily — Roosevelt dashes (timed, ultra-focused work sprints starting at 10 minutes, extended as capacity grows) and phone-free walks, optionally used for productive meditation on a specific problem
On reading
- Returning to books will gradually improve analytical processing, but the attention interventions above produce faster, more measurable results
- Relative gains matter: protecting your concentration in a population losing theirs is a compounding advantage
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